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Home Loan Interest Rates Outlook Money


How to cope with rising interest rates on your floating rate home loan 
Sunil Dhawan & Pankaj Anup Toppo

How badly is the EMI (equated monthly instalment) of your home loan messing up your budget? Over the last four years, the interest rate on home loans has risen from the bottom of about 7.75 per cent in 2004 to about 12.75 per cent now for existing customers. During the initial period of the rise, your lender bank or housing finance company (HFC) increased the loan tenure, till it went up to the end of your expected working life. Then it started bumping up the EMIs. Your total interest burden would have more than doubled from what it was in 2004 unless you have already prepaid substantial chunks of your principal.

This larger loan burden comes at a time when rising prices are putting pressure on your budget anyway. To cap inflation, the government and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have been tightening the screws on liquidity. The RBI has increased the cash reserve ratio (the amount banks set aside with the RBI) and the repo rate (the rate at which banks borrow from the RBI), sucking out cash. So, banks are having to pay higher interest on deposits to bring in cash. To make money on these higher-cost funds, they have had to hike lending rates. This has pushed up the overall interest rates. 

The biggest impact of this increase is on home loans. Those who took fixed rate loans have been guarded against this since the rate is likely to be reviewed after five years or so. However, those who took floating rate loans have borne the brunt of the rate hike, seeing their repayment tenures and EMIs shooting up.

While there have been reports of suicides over inability to repay home loans in the US after the sub-prime crisis, we haven’t heard anything such in India yet. But the task of making ends meet without losing the roof over one’s head is stressing people out. So, how do you ease the pressure, even partially?

THE SHOCKS
To find a way out, you have to understand how interest rates are set. Banks calculate their own cost of funds from various sources. Above that, they fix the prime lending rate (PLR), a rate at which they lend money to their best or least risky customers. Normally, all banks also fix a benchmark PLR (BPLR). All loans are linked to the BPLR. When interest rises, the PLR and the BPLR increase. This, in turn, pushes up the rates for the floating home loan buyers, since the rate of interest they pay is linked to the BPLR. Then comes the increase in loan tenure and, subsequently, EMIs.

Longer tenure, higher EMIs. Take the case of a 30-year-old who had taken a Rs 30-lakh home loan in 2004. At an interest rate of 7.75 per cent per annum then, he was supposed to pay an EMI of Rs 24,628 for 240 months to repay his loan. Typically, most banks provide a loan tenure of up to 240 months. The total interest outgo over this period would have been Rs 29 lakh. So, the total cost of his home would have been Rs 59 lakh. By 2006, when interest moved to 9.5 per cent on the same loan, on the same EMI, the tenure was pushed to 26.61 years. A 1.75 per cent increase in the interest rate pushing up the tenure by 8.61 years!

Higher interest outgo. Today the same loan runs on an interest rate of 12.75 per cent. Over the last four years, the bulk of what he has been repaying as EMI is interest. So, he still has an outstanding principal of Rs 27 lakh to repay and his EMI is up to Rs 29,774. This is what the situation is: a loan, originally for 240 months with an EMI of Rs 24,628, gets rolled into one for 319 months with an EMI of Rs 29,774. The horror story does not end there. On the outstanding principal of Rs 27 lakh now, the total interest burden for 26.61 years is a whopping Rs 68 lakh, and the total cost of the Rs 30-lakh home has become Rs 98 lakh, including Rs 3 lakh that has already been paid.

Higher total cost. Every time the interest rate goes up by 0.25 percentage points, the repayment period gets longer. For instance, on a loan at 9 per cent, if the original repayment tenure was 240 months, a 0.25 percentage point increase after, say, a year lengthens the remaining payback period by 11 months to 239 months. A 1 percentage point increase prolongs the tenure by 60 months, taking the total tenure to about 288 months (see With Every Hike). With the loan amount constant, more the number of EMIs you pay, the higher the interest cost, and, therefore, the total cost of your home. 

Typically, for a buyer, it is difficult to look at his home in a clinical sort of way. The emotions and other intangibles play a strong role. He’ll usually try to cut back on everything else to retain the house, even if its cost has gone way above what he was looking at when he bought it. Even though he doesn’t, strictly speaking, own the home yet, in his mind he does. Thus, selling is not really an option. So, what can he do to reduce the financial pressure?

THE SALVAGE OPTIONS
Now, to become debt free, he will have to repay the loan. To expedite the process, he has to bring the total cost of the house closer to what he was expecting to pay when he bought it, that is, he has to reduce the interest outgo in some way. This would mean reducing the tenure, or EMI, or both. There are three possible ways—switching, refinancing or part-prepayment—to achieve this end. Let’s see how they work. 

A. Switchover. To attract people to home loans, lending institutions try to keep the interest rate for new loans as low a possible. At present, it is around 11.50 per cent per annum on a reducing balance on a floating rate loan taken for 20 years. This loan will be linked to a BPLR and the interest rate on it will move with that BPLR. BPLR varies across lenders largely dependant on the cost of funds. If you had taken a floating rate loan, yours, too, would be linked to a BPLR, although it would be different from the one for a new loan and you are likely to be paying interest at around 12.75 per cent per annum now. You can take advantage of the difference in interest rates for existing and new customers by asking your banker to switch over your loan to the rate applicable for fresh customers. This, however, comes at a cost. Typically, the borrower would have to pay some percentage of the balance outstanding, say 1.75 per cent, and 12.24 per cent service tax on it, to avail the new rate of interest, which, again, could rise over time. In this case, the tenure remains constant, while the interest burden is slightly reduced. 

In the example that we had taken earlier, the cost incurred to switch over would be about Rs 53,000, including service tax. The outstanding loan and the term of 319 months don’t change, but the interest reduces to 11.50 per cent. The EMI falls to Rs 27,171 and there is an overall savings in interest of about Rs 8 lakh (see The Options For Reducing Your Interest Burden: Switching). 

B. Refinancing. Not all banks charge the same rate of interest on home loans. So, if you can find a bank offering a lower rate of interest, you can refinance the loan—borrow from the new lender and pay off your old one. Banks expect to make a certain amount of money by funding you for some years. That amount is their expected future earning from you. Now if you foreclose the loan, that stream gets truncated. To ensure against that, banks impose a foreclosure penalty, through which they recoup part of this foregone income. The full repayment penalty is normally 1.75 per cent of the outstanding amount plus the service tax. The processing fee, depending on the bank, is 1.0-1.5 per cent.

Refinancing is usually costlier than switching, but the overall savings are more (see The Options For Reducing Your Interest Bur-den: Refinancing). Here, the cost of closing the loan from the existing lender and opting for a new one from another lender will cost Rs 87,000. Paying this reduces the loan tenure to 240 months and the interest burden to about Rs 42 lakh assuming that your balance working life is more than 240 months. The new lender will want to finish the loan within your balance working life.

C. Part prepayments. The third option is to make lump sum or regular part prepayments of the principal. Here you are going to the root of your problem. If your principal outstanding goes down, so will the interest you have to pay on it, whatever be the rate. Part prepayments also decrease the tenure and, therefore, the total interest outgo. But first, make sure there is no part prepayment penalty associated with your loan. Be careful, DO NOT increase the EMI—the prepayment amount should be in addition to your EMI. If you part pay the principal every time you have money in your hands, it will reduce the number of EMIs even at your higher rate of interest (see The Options For Reducing Your Interest Burden: Regular Prepayment). 

Almost all banks and HFCs allow part prepayment. The pay-off can either be done on a monthly basis, or as a lump sum anytime during the year. Banks have their own criteria of allowing part prepayments. For example, the minimum that one can part prepay should be equal to at least one month’s instalment.

D. Part prepayment along with switching or refinancing. You can also combine either the switching or repayment options with the prepayment option. For instance, if you find that you have some free cash in hand and your bank or another one is giving new loans at lower rates, then you could part prepay the principal to bring down the principal outstanding and the interest outgo. After that, if you switch or refinance your loan, with a lower outstanding principal, you can bring down your EMI further. If you do combine, then make sure you make the prepayment first, since the switching and refinance options will calculate the cost of doing so on the reduced outstanding principal. 

If you have enough cash to fully pay off your loan, you will have to pay a penalty of around 2 per cent on the outstanding loan. To avoid the penalty, you may pay off the entire loan, except one year’s outstanding that you have to continue paying as EMIs.

Aftershocks. If you wish to exercise the switching option, there is a one-time cash outflow. Getting your loan refinanced from a bank is also a good option. The best thing about this option is that the tenure and the interest burden reduces considerably, albeit at a cost higher than that of switching. The best option seems part prepayment, wherein there is no cost involved, except the opportunity cost that your prepayments could have earned if invested in high-yielding options like stocks where returns aren’t certain. 

RAISING PREPAYMENT FUNDS
Remember, the amount that you are going to prepay your loan with is not coming back to you. Developments such as windfall profits from the stockmarket, maturing of old investments, build-up of capital over the years due to increase in salary, or a bonus might prompt you to go for prepayment, in part or whole. Diversion from other tax saving instruments can be explored. Close all dormant savings account and use those funds to prepay. Use unutilised funds lying in our brokerage accounts to prepay. Ring up your friends to ask them about the funds that they owe to you and seek zero-interest loans from parents or close relatives. 

CONCLUSION
Before you choose your option, you should examine the alternatives and the costs associated. A period of indebtedness of 10, 15 or 20 years, clubbed with the uncertainties of job and life, create an uneasy situation. From a purely psychological perspective, it may be better to pay off one’s debts. This strategy would appeal all the more to you if you want to live in a debt-free world and own a home. You will get to own the home earlier if you channelise your surplus funds towards prepayment. 

Interest rates are cyclical in nature and considering that home loans are long-term commitments, there will be some periods du-ring the tenure when rates move up and some periods when they will move down. Prepaying allows you to own the home sooner. With luck, by the time the rates fall the next time around, you may be in a position to consider buying your second home. - sunildhawan@outlookindia.com  toppo@outlookindia.com





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